Democrats were gleeful when President Obama handily won reelection in 2012. Prior to that day, Karl Rove, George W. Bush’s chief political strategist, made the prediction that Romney would capture at least 279 electoral votes and likely more. In the end, Romney won only 209 votes which was far short of the 270 needed to win. Democrats believe this is because of Romney’s remark about the 47% of the nation hopelessly looking for taxpayer funded welfare assistance. Bruce Karatz knows that this has led some to believe the GOP is out of step with mainstream America and that any Democrat nominee can easily win the White House in 2016.
At issue is some Democrat pundits do not want to accept the premise that only Hillary Clinton has what it takes to defeat the GOP. To bolster their assessment that Elizabeth Warren or Martin O’Malley can beat out Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker or former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, they attempt to claim the majority of voters are inherently on the side of Democrats.
The position would have merit if in fact Romney’s quip about the ‘47%’ was indicative of why he lost the presidency. On Election Day, pundits were quick to point out that Romney lost because he did not capture sufficient numbers of the Hispanic vote. However, more detail election returns proved that he lost the presidency for one simple reason: he did not secure his party’s evangelical base. Fully four million evangelicals that voted for McCain in 2008 failed to show up to vote in 2012. Had they turned out as Romney expected, he would have won the presidency. This point is critical as Walker, the son of a preacher, sets out to secure the Tea Party and evangelical base in order to avoid Romney’s critical miscalculation.